Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.178018 4.679160 5.224330 5.862695 6.591270 7.398693 8.363753
2025-01-26 3.443530 4.110578 4.890715 5.875352 7.091745 8.553922 10.457718
2025-02-02 3.057223 3.829940 4.784977 6.062555 7.742525 9.897962 12.907802
2025-02-09 2.753370 3.585461 4.660765 6.169314 8.258332 11.089459 15.286176
2025-02-16 2.509981 3.377182 4.541100 6.242042 8.705678 12.209042 17.686027
2025-02-23 2.311983 3.201113 4.434867 6.304450 9.123595 13.311077 20.185001
2025-03-02 2.079291 2.949067 4.190375 6.130377 9.158594 13.829739 21.832646
2025-03-09 1.910242 2.770439 4.030611 6.057918 9.327432 14.555498 23.888837
2025-03-16 1.761992 2.607906 3.877142 5.974137 9.459949 15.224382 25.922607
2025-03-23 1.706923 2.580885 3.925646 6.211056 10.134844 16.862556 29.886660
2025-03-30 1.603900 2.469524 3.830391 6.199944 10.383476 17.786221 32.659057
2025-04-06 1.501528 2.350608 3.712048 6.136250 10.528751 18.533688 35.189302
2025-04-13 1.351669 2.145915 3.440897 5.791141 10.145314 18.284468 35.742130
2025-04-20 1.283906 2.072513 3.384083 5.819230 10.452657 19.383631 39.262307
2025-04-27 1.249363 2.052138 3.415372 6.007950 11.082607 21.190208 44.605005
2025-05-04 1.204118 2.009547 3.403676 6.114411 11.561679 22.749353 49.662231
2025-05-11 1.157294 1.960480 3.375974 6.186578 11.977676 24.226338 54.785867
2025-05-18 1.112655 1.911927 3.344978 6.248395 12.377222 25.716332 60.209072
2025-05-25 1.040081 1.807666 3.202979 6.076087 12.260526 26.036883 62.718786
2025-06-01 0.986433 1.734755 3.114639 6.004357 12.353076 26.845439 66.650974
2025-06-08 0.935489 1.663660 3.024755 5.921418 12.411375 27.579361 70.515547
2025-06-15 0.925339 1.669074 3.083446 6.155955 13.214993 30.221819 80.286828
2025-06-22 0.887980 1.619679 3.030267 6.144955 13.445827 31.469691 86.239452